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Business & Finance · October 16, 2026

Wall Street's fear gauge is ripping. Traders see it going even higher

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Markets reacted significantly on October 16, 2026, as the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) rose above 22, its highest point in four months. The surge was driven by a sell-off in AI-related stocks, including a 13% drop for CoreWeave, and concerns regarding upcoming earnings reports from major tech firms. Concurrently, speculation is intensifying regarding a potential multi-trillion dollar merger between Tesla and SpaceX, fueled by a recent joint vehicle demonstration and predictions on Kalshi giving a merger 50% odds by March 2027. Barclays analysts have suggested such a deal could be announced as early as December 2026.

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Reported by multiple outlets

  • The VIX rose above 22 on October 16, 2026.
  • Tesla and SpaceX have engaged in various technical collaborations, including battery sales and semiconductor development.
  • Tesla and SpaceX are scheduled to report earnings or hold major meetings in the coming weeks.

Reported by only some outlets

  • The Nasdaq fell 2% on October 16, its worst day since June 5.
  • CoreWeave shares fell 13% due to concerns over the 'AI complex.'
  • Kalshi bettors place the odds of a Tesla/SpaceX merger by March 1, 2027, at approximately 50%.
  • SpaceX went public in June 2026 and is valued near $2 trillion.
  • One trader spent $2.8 million on VIX call options for November.
  • SpaceX purchased $300 million in Tesla Megapacks in Q2 2026.

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