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Politics · October 14, 2026

In Texas, 3 new polls show Talarico with slight lead

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Recent polling data indicates a highly competitive landscape for Texas statewide offices, with Democratic candidates holding narrow leads in several key races. State Representative James Talarico currently holds a slight lead over Republican Ken Paxton in the race for U.S. Senate. While polling shows Talarico, Gina Hinojosa, and Vikki Goodwin ahead in their respective bids, the leads often fall within the margin of error. Concurrently, Talarico is navigating strategic campaign decisions, recently opting to skip a rally with Senator Bernie Sanders to maintain appeal among moderate voters, while also responding to attacks from Paxton regarding a recent brief absence from the trail due to illness.

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Reported across the spectrum

  • James Talarico currently holds a slight lead over Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate race.
  • The margins in the Senate race are thin and often fall within the margin of error.
  • Ken Paxton is the Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate seat.
  • Talarico's campaign confirmed he will not attend a Texas rally featuring Senator Bernie Sanders.

Reported by only some outlets

  • A University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll shows Talarico leading Paxton 50% to 47%.
  • Democratic Representative Gina Hinojosa holds a 1-point lead over incumbent Governor Greg Abbott.
  • Democratic Representative Vikki Goodwin leads Dan Patrick 49% to 46% for lieutenant governor.
  • Republican Don Huffines leads Sarah Eckhardt for Comptroller.
  • Talarico's campaign stated his recent absence from the trail was due to recovering from the flu.
  • Ken Paxton publicly suggested Talarico was having a 'mental Tala-freak-out' during his absence.
  • Senator Bernie Sanders is rallying in El Paso on Monday with Beto O'Rourke and Greg Casar.

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