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Politics · November 3, 2026

Elections 2026 live updates: Voters head to polls as Democrats are favored to win Congress

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Democratic state Representative Josh Turek defeated Republican Representative Ashley Hinson in the 2026 Iowa Senate race, flipping the seat previously held by retiring Republican Joni Ernst. Major outlets including the AP, NBC News, and Decision Desk HQ called the race on Tuesday night. Turek’s victory marks the first time a Democrat has won a U.S. Senate seat in Iowa since 2008. This win is projected to give Democrats control of the U.S. Senate for the next two years. Turek, a former Paralympic gold medalist, campaigned on economic issues and rural outreach, while Hinson emphasized her record in the House and family-focused policies. The race was characterized as a toss-up following shifts in polling and national economic headwinds.

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Reported across the spectrum

  • Democratic state Representative Josh Turek defeated Republican Representative Ashley Hinson
  • The seat was being vacated by retiring Republican Senator Joni Ernst
  • This is the first Democratic U.S. Senate win in Iowa since 2008
  • The victory results in Democrats taking control of the U.S. Senate

Reported by only some outlets

  • NBC News reported that at 11:20 p.m., Turek led Hinson 50.9 percent to 46 percent with over 90 percent of the vote counted
  • The Associated Press called the race at 10:35 p.m. CT
  • The Cook Political Report moved the race to 'Toss Up' on August 20
  • Turek is a two-time Paralympic gold medalist in wheelchair basketball
  • Hinson is the U.S. Representative from Iowa’s Second Congressional District
  • Turek won his primary with the 'tacit backing' of Democratic leaders in Washington

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