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Politics · October 18, 2026

Can Ken Paxton outrun a trail of scandal to win US Senate seat in ruby-red Texas?

Part of: Texas Senate: Paxton vs. Talarico →
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The 2026 Texas US Senate race between Republican incumbent Attorney General Ken Paxton and Democratic state legislator James Talarico is currently in a dead heat. Despite a long history of legal scandals and personal controversies, Paxton remains a 'political survivor' buoyed by MAGA support, Donald Trump's endorsement, and significant funding from allies like Elon Musk. Talarico, a former teacher and progressive Christian, has benefited from Paxton's perceived vulnerabilities and high-profile endorsements, though he faces criticism for his 'woke' record and has dealt with right-wing rumors regarding a recent absence from the trail. The race is viewed as a critical referendum on Trump’s second presidency and a pivotal moment for Democrats seeking to break a 30-year losing streak in Texas statewide elections.

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Reported across the spectrum

  • Texas has not elected a Democrat to statewide office since 1994.
  • Ken Paxton is the Republican nominee for US Senate in Texas for the 2026 midterms.
  • James Talarico is the Democratic nominee and currently serves as a state legislator.
  • Donald Trump has endorsed Ken Paxton.
  • Elon Musk is bankrolling a Super PAC to support Paxton.
  • Paxton was previously impeached by the Texas legislature but later acquitted.
  • Polls currently show the race as a dead heat, with some showing Talarico leading.

Reported by only some outlets

  • Paxton was allegedly filmed at a 2024 New Year’s Eve party in Dubai with fugitives under federal indictment.
  • Talarico’s campaign provided security footage to the New York Times to debunk rumors about his health-related absence.
  • Leaked audio clips allegedly show Paxton expressing concerns about the influence of D.C. on his campaign and the impact of fuel prices.
  • Angela Paxton, Ken's ex-wife, appeared in an ad supporting the full Republican ticket without mentioning Ken by name.

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