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Politics · July 4, 2026

5 governor’s seats most likely to flip

Confidence 70%
Spin 25%
1 sources analyzed →

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Neutral Summary

Three dozen states are holding elections for governor in November, teeing up a test in several of the battleground states President Trump won in 2024. Swing states like Nevada, Georgia and Wisconsin are key bellwethers for the national mood around the White House, the economy and

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